R. N. Thompson

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University of Warwick

United Kingdom

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The impact of climate variability on infectious disease epidemic risks

Open Date: 2023-01-01

Close Date: 2025-12-31

Articles (29)

Modeling lesion transition dynamics to clinically characterize patients with clade I mpox in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

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Year:

2025

Climate variability amplifies the need for vector-borne disease outbreak preparedness

Article Link

Year:

2025

A Primer on Inference and Prediction With Epidemic Renewal Models and Sequential Monte Carlo

Article Link

Year:

2025

Quantifying infectious disease epidemic risks: A practical approach for seasonal pathogens

Article Link

Year:

2025

Effects of individual variation and seasonal vaccination on disease risks

Article Link

Year:

2025

Reducing transmission in multiple settings is required to eliminate the risk of major Ebola outbreaks: a mathematical modelling study

Article Link

Year:

2025

The time-dependent reproduction number for epidemics in heterogeneous populations

Article Link

Year:

2025

Simulation-based inference of the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated and under-reported disease incidence time series data

Article Link

Year:

2025

Modeling vaccination prioritization strategies for post-pandemic COVID-19 in the Republic of Korea accounting for under-reporting and age-structure

Article Link

Year:

2025

A renewal-equation approach to estimating R t and infectious disease case counts in the presence of reporting delays

Article Link

Year:

2025

Modelling the effectiveness of an isolation strategy for managing mpox outbreaks with variable infectiousness profiles

Article Link

Year:

2024

Prioritising older individuals for COVID-19 booster vaccination leads to optimal public health outcomes in a range of socio-economic settings

Article Link

Year:

2024

When should lockdown be implemented? Devising cost-effective strategies for managing epidemics amid vaccine uncertainty

Article Link

Year:

2024

Using real-time modelling to inform the 2017 Ebola outbreak response in DR Congo

Article Link

Year:

2024

Host behaviour driven by awareness of infection risk amplifies the chance of superspreading events

Article Link

Year:

2024

Contact-number-driven virus evolution: A multi-level modeling framework for the evolution of acute or persistent RNA virus infection

Article Link

Year:

2023

A target-cell limited model can reproduce influenza infection dynamics in hosts with differing immune responses

Article Link

Year:

2023

Analysis of the risk and pre-emptive control of viral outbreaks accounting for within-host dynamics: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study

Article Link

Year:

2023

A practical guide to mathematical methods for estimating infectious disease outbreak risks

Article Link

Year:

2023

Using ‘sentinel’ plants to improve early detection of invasive plant pathogens

Article Link

Year:

2023

Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data

Article Link

Year:

2023

Isolation may select for earlier and higher peak viral load but shorter duration in SARS-CoV-2 evolution

Article Link

Year:

2023

Optimal health and economic impact of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures prior and post vaccination in England: a mathematical modelling study

Article Link

Year:

2022

Heterogeneity in the onwards transmission risk between local and imported cases affects practical estimates of the time-dependent reproduction number

Article Link

Year:

2022

Estimation of heterogeneous instantaneous reproduction numbers with application to characterize SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Massachusetts counties

Article Link

Year:

2022

Emergence potential of monkeypox in the Western Pacific Region, July 2022

Article Link

Year:

2022

The effect of notification window length on the epidemiological impact of COVID-19 contact tracing mobile applications

Article Link

Year:

2022

Assessing the impact of lateral flow testing strategies on within-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission and absences: A modelling study

Article Link

Year:

2022

Quantifying pupil-to-pupil SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of lateral flow testing in English secondary schools

Article Link

Year:

2022

Collaborators (15)

Takara Nishiyama

Project Assistant Professor

Institute of Science Tokyo

JAPAN

Ryo Komorizono

Program-Specific Assistant Professor

Kyoto University

JAPAN

Alexander Kaye

University of Warwick

UNITED KINGDOM

David Augustin

University of Oxford

UNITED KINGDOM

Christl Donnelly

Imperial College London

UNITED KINGDOM

david gavaghan

University of Oxford

UNITED KINGDOM

Matt J. Keeling

University of Warwick

UNITED KINGDOM

Jonathan Polonsky

University of Geneva

SWITZERLAND

Helen Byrne

Professor of Mathematical Biology

University of Oxford

UNITED KINGDOM

William Hart

University of Oxford

UNITED KINGDOM

Edward Hill

Warwick Zeeman Lecturer

University of Warwick

UNITED KINGDOM

Louise Dyson

University of Warwick

UNITED KINGDOM

Nik J. Cunniffe

University of Cambridge

UNITED KINGDOM

Laura F White

Professor

Boston University

UNITED STATES

Shingo Iwami

Nagoya University

JAPAN

R. N. Thompson

Research Interests

Explore related searches

Contact this professor

Recent Grants

Articles (29)

Modeling lesion transition dynamics to clinically characterize patients with clade I mpox in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

Climate variability amplifies the need for vector-borne disease outbreak preparedness

A Primer on Inference and Prediction With Epidemic Renewal Models and Sequential Monte Carlo

Quantifying infectious disease epidemic risks: A practical approach for seasonal pathogens

Effects of individual variation and seasonal vaccination on disease risks

Reducing transmission in multiple settings is required to eliminate the risk of major Ebola outbreaks: a mathematical modelling study

The time-dependent reproduction number for epidemics in heterogeneous populations

Simulation-based inference of the time-dependent reproduction number from temporally aggregated and under-reported disease incidence time series data

Modeling vaccination prioritization strategies for post-pandemic COVID-19 in the Republic of Korea accounting for under-reporting and age-structure

A renewal-equation approach to estimating R t and infectious disease case counts in the presence of reporting delays

Modelling the effectiveness of an isolation strategy for managing mpox outbreaks with variable infectiousness profiles

Prioritising older individuals for COVID-19 booster vaccination leads to optimal public health outcomes in a range of socio-economic settings

When should lockdown be implemented? Devising cost-effective strategies for managing epidemics amid vaccine uncertainty

Using real-time modelling to inform the 2017 Ebola outbreak response in DR Congo

Host behaviour driven by awareness of infection risk amplifies the chance of superspreading events

Contact-number-driven virus evolution: A multi-level modeling framework for the evolution of acute or persistent RNA virus infection

A target-cell limited model can reproduce influenza infection dynamics in hosts with differing immune responses

Analysis of the risk and pre-emptive control of viral outbreaks accounting for within-host dynamics: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study

A practical guide to mathematical methods for estimating infectious disease outbreak risks

Using ‘sentinel’ plants to improve early detection of invasive plant pathogens

Exact calculation of end-of-outbreak probabilities using contact tracing data

Isolation may select for earlier and higher peak viral load but shorter duration in SARS-CoV-2 evolution

Optimal health and economic impact of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures prior and post vaccination in England: a mathematical modelling study

Heterogeneity in the onwards transmission risk between local and imported cases affects practical estimates of the time-dependent reproduction number

Estimation of heterogeneous instantaneous reproduction numbers with application to characterize SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Massachusetts counties

Emergence potential of monkeypox in the Western Pacific Region, July 2022

The effect of notification window length on the epidemiological impact of COVID-19 contact tracing mobile applications

Assessing the impact of lateral flow testing strategies on within-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission and absences: A modelling study

Quantifying pupil-to-pupil SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of lateral flow testing in English secondary schools

Collaborators (15)

Takara Nishiyama

Ryo Komorizono

Alexander Kaye

David Augustin

Christl Donnelly

david gavaghan

Matt J. Keeling

Jonathan Polonsky

Helen Byrne

William Hart

Edward Hill

Louise Dyson

Nik J. Cunniffe

Laura F White

Shingo Iwami

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