University College London
Just Landed
New Today
PhD in Humanitarian Risk Pools Responding to a Changing Climate University College London in United Kingdom
Degree Level
PhD
Field of study
Data Science
Funding
Available
Country
United Kingdom
University
University College London
Apply for this position
Keywords
Suggested positions
About this position
This PhD project investigates how humanitarian risk pools can respond to a changing climate and make resilient financial decisions under uncertainty. Risk pools such as Start Ready, African Risk Capacity, and the Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility use predefined triggers, including flood forecast probabilities, to release pooled funds before or after disasters.
The research will examine how climate science, data science, and decision science can be combined to improve the modelling that supports these mechanisms. The project will consider sparse historical records, uncertainty in seasonal forecasts, uncertainty in climate trend detection and attribution, and divergence between climate models. It will explore how these uncertainties affect risk-pool finances both from year to year and over longer future periods.
A key part of the work will involve understanding existing financial modelling approaches and integrating different sources of uncertainty, including small event counts, high interannual variability, model divergence, and confidence in model results. The research will also consider how uncertainty can be managed or its effects minimised in operational decision-making.
Beyond technical modelling, the project places strong emphasis on the implications for humanitarian organisations. The researcher will examine the context and constraints in which risk pools operate and develop recommendations for resilient strategies under uncertainty and climate change.
The project is based at University College London’s Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy, with Erica Thompson as primary supervisor. It offers interdisciplinary preparation for research or careers in catastrophe modelling, insurance, finance, climate resilience, and the humanitarian sector.
Funding details
Available
What's required
Applicants should have a strong mathematical background and an interest in applying mathematical skills to financial modelling in the non-profit sector and climate resilience. Experience with climate or seasonal forecasting tools, or experience in the humanitarian sector, would be useful but is not required.
How to apply
Review the project details and contact the primary supervisor, Erica Thompson, at [email protected] to discuss the opportunity and application process. Applications are made through the UNRISK Centre for Doctoral Training.
Make your next move.
Prepare your application
Review drafts and confirm requirements with the university.
Make your next move.
Prepare your application
Review drafts and confirm requirements with the university.