Markus Peck‐Radosavljevic

Background and Aims Data on number of patients with cirrhosis in Germany are limited. We therefore aimed to estimate prevalence, comorbidities, mortality, utilization of healthcare resources and costs of patients with cirrhosis and incidence of decompensation of cirrhosis in Germany. Methods This longitudinal observational study was based on an anonymized representative claims database including 4.9 million persons insured by a statutory health insurance (SHI) between 2015–2020. Patients with decompensated and compensated cirrhosis were selected via diagnostic ICD codes and followed for 2 years. Results Prevalence of cirrhosis in 2015 was 250/100 000, resulting in 201 747 (95% CI: 197 540–206 040) patients extrapolated to the German population. Out of all patients with compensated cirrhosis in 2015 who did not deceased, 16.0% developed a decompensation within 3 years. Overall, 978 patients (Ø‐age: 68 years; 60% male) were included in the decompensated, and 5135 patients (Ø‐age: 66 years; 59% male) in the compensated cirrhosis cohort. Patients with decompensated cirrhosis had a higher burden of comorbidities (Charlson Comorbidity Index 7.3 vs. 4.4) and 3 times higher costs per quarter (7172 € vs. 2213 €) than patients with compensated cirrhosis. 1‐year mortality after decompensation was 51% compared to 8% in compensated cirrhosis. Of note, only few patients with decompensated cirrhosis received a liver transplantation or transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunts (TIPS) (1% and 5%). Conclusion Patients with cirrhosis have a high healthcare burden in especially decompensated stage. Accordingly, 1‐year mortality of decompensated cirrhosis in Germany is high. Despite high health resource utilization, only few patients have access to liver transplantation or TIPS.

Introduction Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the second most common cause of cancer‐related death worldwide with increasing incidence. Effective antiviral treatment for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) became available in the last 7 years but despite the WHO Hepatitis elimination targets, they are not universally available today in all regions for all the patients, indicating still a bleak outlook for CHC‐associated HCC in the next decades. Aim To assess the HCC incidence in relation to interferon (IFN)‐based antiviral treatment response and baseline characteristics of a large cohort of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients from a single institution. Methods We retrospectively collected data of CHC patients, who were diagnosed between 1989 and 2011 and treated at the AKH‐University Hospital of Vienna before the introduction of direct‐acting antiviral (DAA) only therapy. We analysed the HCC incidence in patients with a sustained virological response (SVR) and without SVR according to the patients' baseline characteristics. Results Our study included 2134 patients, who were treated or not treated with IFN‐based antiviral treatment and had long‐term follow‐up available. The overall HCC incidence in this cohort was 6.2% (132 HCC cases over a median follow‐up period of 9 years). According to the baseline fibrosis stage, the overall HCC incidence was: 1.1% in patients with baseline fibrosis stage F0‐2, 8.2% in F3 and 20.6% in F4 patients. The HCC incidence was significantly higher in non‐SVR and no‐treatment group as compared with SVR patients: 12.4% vs 1.9%, P < .0001, 7.3% vs 1.9%, P < .0001. In multivariate analysis, lower platelet count (odds ratio‐OR = ‐0.1, 95% CI: 0.15‐0.63), for the SVR group and presence of cirrhosis (OR = 3.6, 95% CI: 1.59‐8.17), ALBI grade >=2 (OR = 2.3, 95% CI: 1.0‐5.3) for the non‐SVR group were independently associated with HCC occurrence. For the group of patients with no treatment, the only predictor for HCC was high baseline alpha‐fetoprotein values (OR = 10.2, 95% CI: 2.2‐47.9). Conclusion The achievement of SVR significantly reduces the risk for HCC occurrence during long‐term follow‐up. However, the risk remains high in successfully treated patients with low platelet count and in patients who did not achieve SVR with more advanced liver disease. These risk factors should be considered in decision‐making of HCC surveillance in this settling.