Michael Byrne

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University of St. Andrews
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Monsoons and climate change: roles of atmospheric and oceanic processes

Open Date: 2018-11-01

Close Date: 2022-11-01

Articles (19)

Year:

2025

Monsoon depressions (MDs) are synoptic‐scale storms that occur during the summer phase of the global monsoon cycle and whose dynamical mechanisms remain incompletely understood. To gain insight into the dynamics governing the large‐scale structure of MDs, we formulate an idealised moist‐thermal quasi‐geostrophic model that includes distinct thermal and moisture fields in simple forms. A linear‐stability analysis of the model, with basic states corresponding to typical monsoon conditions, shows three distinct mode classifications: thermal‐Rossby modes, heavy precipitating modes, and a moist‐thermal mode. In the linearised model, the presence of a background precipitation gradient strengthens thermal‐Rossby modes by coupling the dynamics to latent heating. The separation of heavy precipitating modes from fast‐propagating thermal‐Rossby modes is further examined with numerical experiments of large‐amplitude MDs. Wind‐induced evaporation is found to amplify large‐amplitude MDs in conditions analogous to those over the northern Bay of Bengal. An energetic analysis shows the pathways by which the MDs derive energy from the background state. A further series of experiments through a continuum of meridional temperature gradients demonstrates the sensitivity of large‐scale MD dynamics to the background state and suggests a possible mechanism to explain variations in the propagation direction of MDs.

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2024

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2024

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2024

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2024

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2024

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2022

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2021

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2020

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2020

Collaborators (18)

Anna Mackie

University of St Andrews

UNITED KINGDOM
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Thomas Birner

-

GERMANY
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Christopher Holloway

University of Reading

UNITED KINGDOM
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Ruth Geen

University of Birmingham

UNITED KINGDOM
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Aiguo Dai

-

UNITED STATES
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R. K. Scott

-

UNITED KINGDOM
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Rob Wilson

University of St. Andrews

UNITED KINGDOM
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Hervé Douville

-

FRANCE
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Annalisa Cherchi

-

ITALY
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Joseph McConnell

Research Professor

Desert Research Institute

UNITED STATES
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Yi Zhang

Assistant Professor

Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences

UNITED STATES
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Steven Sherwood

Professor

University of New South Wales

AUSTRALIA
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Abigail Swann

University of Washington

UNITED STATES
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Peter Hill

University of Reading

UNITED KINGDOM
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Mathew Barlow

Professor of Climate Science

University of Massachusetts Lowell

UNITED STATES
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Tom Matthews

King’s College London

UNITED KINGDOM
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Andrea Burke

University of St. Andrews

UNITED KINGDOM
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Michela Biasutti

Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University

UNITED STATES
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