Michael Byrne
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Monsoons and climate change: roles of atmospheric and oceanic processes
Open Date: 2018-11-01
Close Date: 2022-11-01
Articles (19)
Year:
2025
Monsoon depressions (MDs) are synoptic‐scale storms that occur during the summer phase of the global monsoon cycle and whose dynamical mechanisms remain incompletely understood. To gain insight into the dynamics governing the large‐scale structure of MDs, we formulate an idealised moist‐thermal quasi‐geostrophic model that includes distinct thermal and moisture fields in simple forms. A linear‐stability analysis of the model, with basic states corresponding to typical monsoon conditions, shows three distinct mode classifications: thermal‐Rossby modes, heavy precipitating modes, and a moist‐thermal mode. In the linearised model, the presence of a background precipitation gradient strengthens thermal‐Rossby modes by coupling the dynamics to latent heating. The separation of heavy precipitating modes from fast‐propagating thermal‐Rossby modes is further examined with numerical experiments of large‐amplitude MDs. Wind‐induced evaporation is found to amplify large‐amplitude MDs in conditions analogous to those over the northern Bay of Bengal. An energetic analysis shows the pathways by which the MDs derive energy from the background state. A further series of experiments through a continuum of meridional temperature gradients demonstrates the sensitivity of large‐scale MD dynamics to the background state and suggests a possible mechanism to explain variations in the propagation direction of MDs.
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2024
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2024
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2024
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2024
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2024
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2023
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2023
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2023
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2023
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2023
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2023
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2023
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2023
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2023
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2022
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2021
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2020
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2020
Collaborators (18)
Anna Mackie
University of St Andrews
Thomas Birner
-
Christopher Holloway
University of Reading
Ruth Geen
University of Birmingham
Aiguo Dai
-
R. K. Scott
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Rob Wilson
University of St. Andrews
Hervé Douville
-
Annalisa Cherchi
-
Joseph McConnell
Research Professor
Desert Research Institute
Yi Zhang
Assistant Professor
Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences
Steven Sherwood
Professor
University of New South Wales
Abigail Swann
University of Washington
Peter Hill
University of Reading
Mathew Barlow
Professor of Climate Science
University of Massachusetts Lowell
Tom Matthews
King’s College London
Andrea Burke
University of St. Andrews
Michela Biasutti
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University
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