Stefano Diciotti

In anticoagulated atrial fibrillation (AF) patients, the validity of models recommended for the stratification of the risk ratio between benefits and hemorrhage risk is limited. We hypothesize that both circulating and neuroimaging-based markers might improve the prediction of bleeding and thrombotic risk in anticoagulated AF patients. The Strat-AF study is an observational, prospective, single-center study enrolling 170 patients with AF; recruited patients are evaluated by means of a comprehensive protocol, with clinical, cerebral magnetic resonance imaging and circulating biomarkers assessment. The main outcome is the evaluation of cerebral microangiopathy related to the levels of circulating biomarkers of inflammation and extracellular matrix (ECM) remodeling. At multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusted for age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc, HAS-BLED and type of anticoagulant, matrix metalloproteinases (MMP)-2 levels were significantly and positively associated with the presence of cerebral microbleeds (CMBs). A significant association between MMP-2, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinases (TIMP)-1,-2,-4 levels and white matter hyperintensity was also found. Concerning the small vessel disease (SVD) score, MMP-2 and TIMP-1,-2 levels were associated with the presence of two and three or more signs of SVD, whereas TIMP-4 levels were associated with the presence of three signs of SVD with respect to patients with no instrumental signs of SVD. As regarding the presence of enlarged perivascular spaces (EPVS), a significant association was found for high levels of interleukin (IL)-8 and TIMP 1-2-3. These results demonstrate that patients with AF have evidence of impaired ECM degradation, which is an independent risk factor for thrombotic complications of AF patients on oral anticoagulant therapy. The incorporation of these markers in the prognostic schemes might improve their clinical capability in predicting stroke risk and thrombotic complications.