Thomas Gschwend

Professor of Political Science, Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences

University of Mannheim

Germany

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Thomas Gschwend is a Professor of Political Science specializing in Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences at the University of Mannheim in Germany. His research focuses on election forecasting models, legislative review processes, and the interactions between political institutions. Recent articles include topics such as candidate awareness in mixed-member electoral systems and the effects of perceived threat during crises on political behavior.

Articles (17)

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2025

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2025

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2024

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2023

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2022

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2022

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2021

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2021

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2020

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2020

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2020

Collaborators (6)

Benjamin G. Engst

Postdoctoral Researcher & Lecturer

University of Konstanz

GERMANY

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Lukas Stoetzer

University of Zurich

SWITZERLAND

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Marcel Neunhoeffer

University of Mannheim

GERMANY

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Oke Bahnsen

University of Mannheim

GERMANY

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Oliver Rittmann

University of Mannheim

GERMANY

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Dominic Nyhuis

Professor of Quantitative Political Science Methods

Leibniz University Hannover

GERMANY

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Thomas Gschwend

Research Interests

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Articles (17)

An election forecasting model for subnational elections

The Zweitstimme Forecast for the German Federal Election 2025: Coalition Majorities and Vacant Districts

How to place non-majoritarian institutions and political actors in a common policy space: Spatial modeling of court–executive interactions

How to improve the substantive interpretation of regression results when the dependent variable is logged

Political ambition and opposition legislative review: Bill scrutiny as an intra‐party signalling device

Constructive and destructive legislative review : The government-opposition divide in parliamentary oversight

Rallying around the leader in times of crises: The opposing effects of perceived threat and anxiety

Candidate awareness in mixed-member electoral systems: A data-driven approach

Zwischen Wahlkreisreduzierung und Bürgernähe: Zur aktuellen Reformdiskussion des Wahlrechts in Baden-Württemberg

Scaling Court Decisions with Citation Networks

Welche Auswirkungen haben größere Wahlkreise auf das politische Verhalten? Ein empirischer Beitrag zur Wahlrechtsreform

The Zweitstimme Model: A Dynamic Forecast of the 2021 German Federal Election

The importance of personal vote intentions for the responsiveness of legislators: A field experiment

A swing vote from the ethnic backstage: The role of German American isolationist tradition for Trump's 2016 victory

How do coalition signals shape voting behavior? Revealing the mediating role of coalition expectations

How do coalition signals shape voting behavior? Revealing the mediating role of coalition expectations

Ein Ansatz zur Vorhersage der Erststimmenanteile bei Bundestagswahlen

Collaborators (6)

Benjamin G. Engst

Lukas Stoetzer

Marcel Neunhoeffer

Oke Bahnsen

Oliver Rittmann

Dominic Nyhuis

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