Thomas M Bury

A cardiac arrhythmia is an abnormality in the rate or rhythm of the heart beat. We study a type of arrhythmia called a premature ventricular complex (PVC), which is typically benign, but in rare cases can lead to more serious arrhythmias or heart failure. There are three known mechanisms for PVCs: reentry, an ectopic focus, and triggered activity. We develop minimal models for each mechanism and attempt the inverse problem of determining which model (and therefore which mechanism) best describes the beat dynamics observed in an ambulatory electrocardiogram. We demonstrate our approach on a patient who exhibits frequent PVCs and find that their PVC dynamics are best described by a model of triggered activity. Better identification of the PVC mechanism from wearable device data could improve risk stratification for the development of more serious arrhythmias.