Thu Tran
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Articles (10)
Year:
2024
Year:
2024
Year:
2024
Year:
2023
Year:
2023
Year:
2023
Year:
2023
Year:
2022
State-level reopenings in late spring 2020 facilitated the resurgence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 transmission. Here, we analyze age-structured case, hospitalization, and death time series from three states—Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Pennsylvania—that had successful reopenings in May 2020 without summer waves of infection. Using 11 daily data streams, we show that from spring to summer, the epidemic shifted from an older to a younger age profile and that elderly individuals were less able to reduce contacts during the lockdown period when compared to younger individuals. Clinical case management improved from spring to summer, resulting in fewer critical care admissions and lower infection fatality rate. Attack rate estimates through 31 August 2020 are 6.2% [95% credible interval (CI), 5.7 to 6.8%] of the total population infected for Rhode Island, 6.7% (95% CI, 5.4 to 7.6%) in Massachusetts, and 2.7% (95% CI, 2.5 to 3.1%) in Pennsylvania.
Year:
2022
Year:
2022
Collaborators (5)
Robert Zupko
Pennsylvania State University
Maciej F. Boni
Pennsylvania State University
Bo Gao
University of Oxford
Nicholas White
University of Oxford
Daniel Parker
Associate Professor
University of California, Irvine
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