Thu Tran

Pennsylvania State University
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Articles (10)

Year:

2024

Year:

2024

Year:

2024

Year:

2023

Year:

2023

Year:

2023

Year:

2023

Year:

2022

State-level reopenings in late spring 2020 facilitated the resurgence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 transmission. Here, we analyze age-structured case, hospitalization, and death time series from three states—Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Pennsylvania—that had successful reopenings in May 2020 without summer waves of infection. Using 11 daily data streams, we show that from spring to summer, the epidemic shifted from an older to a younger age profile and that elderly individuals were less able to reduce contacts during the lockdown period when compared to younger individuals. Clinical case management improved from spring to summer, resulting in fewer critical care admissions and lower infection fatality rate. Attack rate estimates through 31 August 2020 are 6.2% [95% credible interval (CI), 5.7 to 6.8%] of the total population infected for Rhode Island, 6.7% (95% CI, 5.4 to 7.6%) in Massachusetts, and 2.7% (95% CI, 2.5 to 3.1%) in Pennsylvania.

Year:

2022

Year:

2022

Collaborators (5)

Robert Zupko

Pennsylvania State University

UNITED STATES
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Maciej F. Boni

Pennsylvania State University

UNITED STATES
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Bo Gao

University of Oxford

UNITED KINGDOM
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Nicholas White

University of Oxford

UNITED KINGDOM
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Daniel Parker

Associate Professor

University of California, Irvine

UNITED STATES
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