Vinod Chandran

Psoriatic arthritis (PsA) is a chronic, systemic, immune-mediated inflammatory disease causing cutaneous and musculoskeletal inflammation that affects 25% of patients with psoriasis. Current methods for evaluating PsA disease activity are not accurate enough for precision medicine. A metabolomics-based approach can elucidate psoriatic disease pathogenesis, providing potential objective biomarkers. With the hypothesis that serum metabolites are associated with skin disease activity, we aimed to identify serum metabolites associated with skin activity in PsA patients. We obtained serum samples from patients with PsA (n = 150) who were classified into mild, moderate and high disease activity groups based on the Psoriasis Area Severity Index. We used solid-phase microextraction (SPME) for sample preparation, followed by data acquisition via an untargeted liquid chromatography—mass spectrometry (LC-MS) approach. Disease activity levels were predicted using identified metabolites and machine learning algorithms. Some metabolites tentatively identified include eicosanoids with anti- or pro-inflammatory properties, like 12-Hydroxyeicosatetraenoic acid, which was previously implicated in joint disease activity in PsA. Other metabolites of interest were associated with dysregulation of fatty acid metabolism and belonged to classes such as bile acids, oxidized phospholipids, and long-chain fatty acids. We have identified potential metabolites associated with skin disease activity in PsA patients.

Objective To address suboptimal cardiovascular risk prediction in patients with psoriatic disease (PsD), we developed and internally validated a five‐year disease‐specific cardiovascular risk prediction model. Methods We analyzed data from a prospective cohort of participants with PsD without a history of cardiovascular events. Traditional cardiovascular risk factors and PsD‐related measures of disease activity were considered as potential predictors. The study outcome included nonfatal and fatal cardiovascular events. A base prediction model included 10 traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Eight PsD‐related factors were assessed by adding them to the base model to create expanded models, which were controlled for PsD therapies. Variable selection was performed using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) penalized regression with 10‐fold cross‐validation. Model performance was assessed using measures of discrimination and calibration and measures of sensitivity and specificity. Results Between 1992 and 2020, 85 of 1,336 participants developed cardiovascular events. Discrimination of the base model (with traditional cardiovascular risk factors alone) was excellent, with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 85.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 81.9–89.1). Optimal models did not select any of the tested disease‐specific factors. In a sensitivity analysis, which excluded lipid lowering and antihypertensive treatments, the number of damaged joints was selected in the expanded model. However, this model did not improve risk discrimination compared to the base model (AUC 85.5, 95% CI 82.0–89.1). Conclusion Traditional cardiovascular risk factors alone are effective in predicting cardiovascular risk in patients with PsD. A risk score based on these factors performed well, indicating excellent discrimination and calibration. image