Tatijana Zemunik

Context Thyroid function has been associated with metabolic syndrome (MetS) in a number of observational studies but the direction of effects and the exact causal mechanism of this relationship is still unknown. Objective To examine genetically predicted effects of thyroid function on MetS risk and its components, and vice versa, using large-scale summary genetic association data. Methods We performed a two-sample bidirectional Mendelian randomization (MR) study using summary statistics from the most comprehensive genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH, n = 119 715), free thyroxine (fT4, n = 49 269), MetS (n = 291 107), and components of MetS: waist circumference (n = 462 166), fasting blood glucose (n = 281 416), hypertension (n = 463 010), triglycerides (TG, n = 441 016) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C, n = 403 943). We chose the multiplicative random effects inverse variance weighted (IVW) method as the main analysis. Sensitivity analysis included weighted median and mode analysis, as well as MR-Egger and Causal Analysis Using Summary Effect estimates (CAUSE). Results Our results suggest that higher fT4 levels lower the risk of developing MetS (OR = 0.96, P = .037). Genetically predicted fT4 was also positively associated with HDL-C (β = 0.02, P = .008), while genetically predicted TSH was positively associated with TG (β = 0.01, P = .044). These effects were consistent across different MR analyses and confirmed with the CAUSE analysis. In the reverse direction MR analysis, genetically predicted HDL-C was negatively associated with TSH (β = −0.03, P = .046) in the main IVW analysis. Conclusion Our study suggests that variations in normal-range thyroid function are causally associated with the diagnosis of MetS and with lipid profile, while in the reverse direction, HDL-C has a plausible causal effect on reference-range TSH levels.