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University of Exeter

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PhD in Tracking Uncertainties from Future Storms to Hazards and Decisions University of Exeter in United Kingdom

Degree Level

PhD

Field of study

Computer Science

Funding

Part of the UNRISK CDT and offers 15–18 fully funded NERC studentships. Funding covers full university tuition fees, a personal stipend at standard UKRI rates, £6000 individual research and training costs, £5000 per student of cohort-level training, and a Flexible Fund for special projects. International applicants must cover visa application costs and the international health surcharge; awards for international applicants are limited by UKRI rules.

Deadline

Jan 13, 2027

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Country

United Kingdom

University

University of Exeter

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Keywords

Computer Science
Data Science
Environmental Science
Mathematics
Statistical Analysis
Mathematical Modeling
Climatology
Climate Science
Earth Science
Econometric
Statistics
Physics

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About this position

PhD opportunity at the University of Exeter in Mathematics and Statistics, focused on tracking uncertainties from future storms to hazards and decisions.

This project sits within the UNRISK CDT and investigates how uncertainty in climate-model projections of extratropical cyclones translates into uncertainty in the wind and precipitation hazards that matter for society. The research combines climate science, meteorology, applied statistics, data science, mathematical modelling, uncertainty quantification, sensitivity analysis, emulation, and machine learning.

Working with supervisors Prof Jennifer Catto and Dr Hossein Mohammadi, the successful applicant will study how uncertain model parameters and processes influence storm-track characteristics, storm frequency, intensity, location, and the resulting surface hazards. A major aim is to identify which uncertainties matter most for climate-risk assessment and decision-making, and to develop fast statistical emulators such as Gaussian processes to make large-scale uncertainty analysis computationally feasible.

The project is suitable for students with a strong quantitative background, for example in Atmospheric Science, Physics, Maths, Statistics, or Computer Science, and an interest in high-impact weather and climate risk. The project is relevant to students who want to work at the interface of climate modelling, hazard analysis, and data-driven methods.

Funding: fully funded NERC studentship through UNRISK CDT, including full tuition fees, a UKRI-rate stipend, research and training costs, cohort training support, and a flexible fund for special projects.

Location: Exeter, United Kingdom.

Applications: open to UK and international applicants, with limited awards for international applicants under UKRI rules. Deadline shown on the page: 2027-01-13.

Funding details

Part of the UNRISK CDT and offers 15–18 fully funded NERC studentships. Funding covers full university tuition fees, a personal stipend at standard UKRI rates, £6000 individual research and training costs, £5000 per student of cohort-level training, and a Flexible Fund for special projects. International applicants must cover visa application costs and the international health surcharge; awards for international applicants are limited by UKRI rules.

What's required

Applicants should have a quantitative background such as Atmospheric Science, Physics, Maths, Statistics, or Computer Science, and an interest in high-impact weather. The project is suited to students who want to apply quantitative skills to climate science, uncertainty quantification, sensitivity analysis, statistical modelling, and machine learning.

How to apply

Apply through the UNRISK website and follow the PhD project application process there. Check the project page for the full application details and eligibility information. International applicants should note the visa and health surcharge costs.

More information can be found here

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