University of Exeter
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PhD in Quantifying Persistent Extreme Weather Events in a Changing Climate University of Exeter in United Kingdom
Degree Level
PhD
Field of study
Computer Science
Funding
Competition funded PhD project through the UNRISK CDT. Funding includes full university tuition fees, a personal stipend at standard UKRI rates, £6000 individual research and training costs, £5000 per student of cohort-level training, and a Flexible Fund for special projects. International applicants must cover student visa costs and the international health surcharge (IHS).
Deadline
Jan 13, 2027
Country
United Kingdom
University
University of Exeter
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About this position
PhD opportunity at the University of Exeter in quantifying the likelihood of persistent extreme weather events in a changing climate.
This project sits in Mathematics and Statistics and is focused on applied statistics, climate science, data analysis, data science, machine learning, mathematical modelling, and meteorology. The research aims to estimate the probability of persistent extremes such as heatwaves, cold snaps, and prolonged rainy or stormy seasons, especially under climate change.
The project will develop novel data-driven methods based on large-deviation theory to quantify rare weather trajectories and estimate large-deviation rate functions with uncertainty. It will explore time-dependent rate functions in a changing climate, multivariate extensions for compound extremes, and interpretable machine learning approaches to connect local extremes with large-scale atmospheric circulation regimes.
Data sources include CMIP climate model simulations, UKCP18, Central England Temperature, and ERA5 reanalysis. The work also includes retrospective analysis of past extreme weather warnings issued by the National Severe Weather Warning Service. Project partners include the Met Office and JBA Risk Management, with applications relevant to heatwaves, extreme precipitation, and flood risk.
Eligibility: applicants should have a strong background in mathematics, statistics, physics, or meteorology, and a strong interest in weather and climate science. Prior experience in climate science is helpful but not required.
Funding: this is a fully funded PhD studentship through the UNRISK CDT, covering full university tuition fees, a stipend at standard UKRI rates, research and training costs, cohort training support, and a flexible fund. Applications are open to UK and international applicants, though international awards are limited by UKRI rules.
Location: Exeter, United Kingdom.
Application: see the project page and the UNRISK website for full application details and submission instructions.
Funding details
Competition funded PhD project through the UNRISK CDT. Funding includes full university tuition fees, a personal stipend at standard UKRI rates, £6000 individual research and training costs, £5000 per student of cohort-level training, and a Flexible Fund for special projects. International applicants must cover student visa costs and the international health surcharge (IHS).
What's required
Applicants should have a strong background in a relevant subject such as mathematics, statistics, physics, or meteorology. A keen interest in applying quantitative skills to weather and climate science is expected. Prior knowledge and experience in weather and climate science is advantageous but not mandatory.
How to apply
Apply through the UNRISK website and follow the University of Exeter PhD application process. Check the project page and the UNRISK website for full details before submitting your application.
More information can be found here
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